Republican Voters Prefer Cottie Petrie-Norris Over Kelly Ernby
Orange County, California (September 17, 2019) – Polling from Public Opinion Strategies shows Newport
Beach Councilwoman Diane Dixon (R-Newport Beach) pulls ahead of freshman Assemblywoman Cottie
Petrie-Norris (D-Laguna Beach) for the 74th District seat when voters hear about Dixon’s record. The poll
also shows that more Republican voters cross party lines to support Petrie-Norris than support Deputy
District Attorney Kelly Ernby (R-Huntington Beach).
In name identification across the 74th District, the poll showed that Petrie-Norris only narrowly surpasses
Dixon by 4% despite being the incumbent Assemblywoman. Ernby’s total name identification was only
5%, and her limited resources are inadequate to catch the other candidates. The poll’s margin of error is
Dixon has higher name ID than Petrie-Norris among Republicans and among independent voters. She
also has higher favorability and lower unfavorability than Petrie-Norris among each of those two voter
In the initial ballot test, Diane Dixon, Republican, Councilmember, leads Kelly Ernby, Republican,
Deputy District Attorney, by 18%. After voters hear about Dixon’s record on the City Council, Diane
Dixon, Republican, Councilmember, outpolls Cottie Petrie-Norris, Democrat, California State
Assemblymember, by 5% and Kelly Ernby, Republican, Deputy District Attorney, by 40%.
Among Republican voters in the initial ballot test, Dixon holds a 36% lead over Petrie-Norris. Democrat
Petrie-Norris holds a 2% lead among Republicans over Republican Ernby. After voters hear about her
record on the City Council, Dixon quickly consolidates 77% of Republicans behind her and opens up a
10% lead over Petrie-Norris among independents.
According to campaign finance reports from the latest reporting period, Dixon is the best-funded
challenger running against an Assembly incumbent in the entire state, regardless of party. During that time, she raised over $207,000 and had more than $177,000 cash on hand. Additionally, Dixon raised the money after entering the race with only two months remaining in the six-month reporting period. She also outraised 42 Assembly incumbents, including 31 Democrats and 11 Republicans. During the reporting period, Dixon raised more than the majority of the Republicans in Orange County’s legislative delegation did.
Next week, Dixon has two fundraisers scheduled, one headlined by Senate Republican Leader Shannon Grove and another headlined by former Governor Pete Wilson.
The 74th Assembly District has the strongest Republican registration advantage of any Assembly seat held by a Democrat. There are 6 sitting Republican Assemblymembers who hold seats with weaker Republican registration advantages or even Democratic registration advantages.
Diane Dixon spent 40 years in the private sector as a business executive before being elected to the Newport Beach City Council in 2014. She is serving her second term as Mayor, and has served as Chair of the Water Quality and Tidelands Committee and member of the Finance Committee for nearly five years, including four years as Chair. During her tenure at City Hall, she has actively engaged city residents, holding over 23 town hall meetings, working closely with local business owners and residents to solve community problems, and initiating numerous neighborhood and community improvement programs.
An active member on several philanthropic community-based boards of directors for nearly four decades, Mayor Dixon has been married for 44 years to career prosecutor Pat Dixon, with whom she has a daughter, a former prosecutor, and three grandchildren.
The 74th Assembly District consists of Newport Beach, Costa Mesa, Laguna Beach, Laguna Woods, southern Huntington Beach, and most of Irvine.
Paid for by Diane Dixon for Assembly 2020, ID #1418525.